BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Iowa Falls-Alden

Class: 2A Class Rank: 47 Conference: (6-13) Overall: (10-15) Overall Strength =   67.17

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/27/2006 Home    W    56.08  54   44   2A  112 ( 3-19) Aplington AP          -11.09     21.09                      
  2 12/01/2006 Away    L *  68.76  75   76   3A   38 ( 8-14) Algona                  1.60     -2.60                      
  3 12/05/2006 Away    L *  65.18  53   57   2A   44 ( 8-14) Eagle Grove            -1.98     -2.02                      
  4 12/08/2006 Away    L *  71.53  48   65   3A    6 (23- 1) Humboldt                4.36    -21.36                      
  5 12/12/2006 Away    L *  70.49  62   67   3A   30 (10-12) Webster City            3.32     -8.32                      
  6 12/15/2006 Home    W *  71.87  57   54   1A   14 (12-13) Algona Garrigan         4.70     -1.70                      
  7 12/19/2006 Home    W *  61.57  63   53   2A   98 ( 3-19) Clarion-Goldfield      -5.60     15.60                      
  8 12/22/2006 Home    L *  59.03  54   69   3A   21 (14- 9) Clear Lake             -8.14     -6.86                      
  9 01/05/2007 Home    W *  82.15  51   50   2A    7 (19- 5) Fort Dodge St Edmond   14.98    -13.98                      
 10 01/12/2007 Home    L *  63.91  60   62   3A   38 ( 8-14) Algona                 -3.26      1.26                      
 11 01/16/2007 Away    L *  58.29  65   84   2A   21 (16-10) Hampton-Dumont         -8.88    -10.12                      
 12 01/19/2007 Home    L *  83.67  62   63   3A    6 (23- 1) Humboldt               16.51    -17.51                      
 13 01/20/2007 Away    L    65.18  65   67   2A   49 (15- 7) Grundy Center          -1.99     -0.01                      
 14 01/23/2007 Home    W *  71.33  65   59   2A   44 ( 8-14) Eagle Grove             4.16      1.84                      
 15 01/26/2007 Away    L *  57.00  41   69   2A    7 (19- 5) Fort Dodge St Edmond  -10.16    -17.84                      
 16 01/30/2007 Home    L *  56.64  45   60   3A   30 (10-12) Webster City          -10.53     -4.47                      
 17 02/02/2007 Away    L *  67.72  50   55   1A   14 (12-13) Algona Garrigan         0.56     -5.56                      
 18 02/06/2007 Away    L *  72.88  71   76   3A   21 (14- 9) Clear Lake              5.72    -10.72                      
 19 02/09/2007 Away    W *  69.42  68   54   2A   98 ( 3-19) Clarion-Goldfield       2.25     11.75                      
 20 02/13/2007 Home    W *  76.44  57   54   2A   21 (16-10) Hampton-Dumont          9.27     -6.27                      
 21 02/16/2007 Away    L    59.44  40   61   3A   15 (18- 9) Grinnell               -7.73    -13.27                      
 22 02/19/2007 Neutral W    79.37  52   43   2A   36 (14- 8) East Marshall          12.21     -3.21                      
 23 02/22/2007 Away    W    64.54  70   65   2A   82 ( 6-17) Eldora E-NP            -2.62      7.62                      
 24 02/27/2007 Neutral W    71.29  53   49   2A   46 (14-10) Dike-New Hartford       4.13     -0.13                      
 25 03/03/2007 Neutral L *  55.36  36   56   2A   21 (16-10) Hampton-Dumont        -11.80     -8.20                      
      Averages              67.17  56.7 60.5

Best game:   83.67 = 1 point loss to Humboldt
Worst game:  55.36 = 20 point loss to Hampton-Dumont
Team stdev:   8.16